Currently reading: Influx of second-hand petrol cars hammers used values

A spike in nearly-new petrol models causes prices to fall by up to 14% in some cases, while equivalent diesels hold fast

A large increase in nearly-new petrol cars has sparked a substantial fall in used prices, according to valuation specialist Cazana.

The company, which tracks the used car market, reported that the average value of a sub-12-month, sub-12,000-mile petrol car fell from 76% to 68% of original cost new between October 2018 and 2019. Prices dropped gradually throughout the year, but plummeted to a low of 62% in September.

The fall has been credited to the UK’s rapid swing to petrol cars, along with a spike in pre-registrations and the recent spate of new car price rises in the run-up to Brexit.  

“This is a direct reflection of too many petrol cars coming into the marketplace,” said Rupert Pontin, Cazana’s director of insight, “the sub-12-month, sub-12,000-mile market has been significantly affected by pre-registered vehicles. Those prices needed to be readjusted because the manufacturers decided that the UK wanted lots of petrol cars, and they didn’t sell as many as they expected to. There are about 20% more cars in that marketplace [than a year ago] and the average new cost of those vehicles has gone up.”

Pontin added that the introduction of WLTP in September 2018 had also contributed to the recent fall in used petrol values. He claimed that the rise in registrations during the derogation period – where manufacturers were permitted to sell a portion of non-WLTP-compliant vehicles built before 1 June 2018 – had seen significant numbers poured into the market.  

“WLTP has had an impact, because these are petrol cars that had to be priced and sold before the derogation period ran out, and they’re disappearing into the used car market as pre-registered cars,” he said.  

Despite the dramatic reduction in new diesel car sales – they’re down 28.3% year-to-date – and speculation that used examples had dropped in value, nearly-new models are worth almost exactly as much as they were a year ago.

Cazana’s figures show that, on average, sub-12-month, sub-12,000-mile diesels retained 71% of what they cost new in October 2018, and 70% a year later. At the beginning of the period, nearly-new diesels were 5% below equivalent petrols, but they were 2% higher in October this year. 

Jack Carfrae

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Jeremy 2 December 2019

Running costs

Maybe what these statistics say is that for used car buyers, running costs are still king? So long as you don't drive in the very centre of London (99% of car drivers?) then the lower running costs (and lower CO2) traditionally associated with diesels outweight the lower NOx of petrols? Company car drivers may now get BiK benefits from running a petrol but these mean nothing to the used car buyer. Maybe this is why petrols are less attractive in the used car market?

manicm 1 December 2019

So...

Diesel will make a comeback, much to the chagrin of the haters.

TheDriver 2 December 2019

manicm wrote:

manicm wrote:

Diesel will make a comeback, much to the chagrin of the haters.

King Canute lives on!

eseaton 29 November 2019

What idiot buys and sells a

What idiot buys and sells a new car within a year?
FM8 29 November 2019

eseaton wrote:

eseaton wrote:

What idiot buys and sells a new car within a year?

A hire car company?

Landrover? Plenty of pre registered overweight shit boxes slowly sinking into parking lots all over Warwickshire. There's one near Atherstone in North Warwickshire where I live, must be a couple of thousand RRS and Discovery's, all registered just sitting there, no homes to go to.

manicm 1 December 2019

eseaton wrote:

eseaton wrote:

What idiot buys and sells a new car within a year?

When that 'idiot' realizes that his 'efficient' new petrol car is not so efficient after all?